Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000520 0.000563 0.000608 0.000658 0.000712 0.000769 0.000833
2026-01-25 0.000455 0.000515 0.000580 0.000655 0.000741 0.000835 0.000945
2026-02-01 0.000402 0.000472 0.000550 0.000644 0.000754 0.000879 0.001033
2026-02-08 0.000363 0.000438 0.000526 0.000635 0.000766 0.000920 0.001114
2026-02-15 0.000331 0.000411 0.000506 0.000628 0.000778 0.000958 0.001192
2026-02-22 0.000306 0.000389 0.000489 0.000621 0.000788 0.000994 0.001266
2026-03-01 0.000284 0.000369 0.000474 0.000615 0.000797 0.001027 0.001338
2026-03-08 0.000263 0.000348 0.000456 0.000604 0.000798 0.001048 0.001394
2026-03-15 0.000245 0.000331 0.000441 0.000595 0.000802 0.001072 0.001453
2026-03-22 0.000227 0.000312 0.000423 0.000580 0.000795 0.001081 0.001492
2026-03-29 0.000213 0.000297 0.000410 0.000571 0.000796 0.001101 0.001545
2026-04-05 0.000202 0.000287 0.000401 0.000568 0.000805 0.001130 0.001612
2026-04-12 0.000192 0.000278 0.000396 0.000570 0.000822 0.001174 0.001705
2026-04-19 0.000182 0.000268 0.000387 0.000568 0.000833 0.001210 0.001789
2026-04-26 0.000170 0.000255 0.000375 0.000558 0.000833 0.001229 0.001849
2026-05-03 0.000160 0.000243 0.000364 0.000550 0.000834 0.001251 0.001913
2026-05-10 0.000151 0.000233 0.000354 0.000544 0.000838 0.001276 0.001981
2026-05-17 0.000143 0.000224 0.000345 0.000538 0.000841 0.001300 0.002050
2026-05-24 0.000136 0.000216 0.000337 0.000533 0.000845 0.001324 0.002120
2026-05-31 0.000128 0.000206 0.000326 0.000523 0.000841 0.001337 0.002171
2026-06-07 0.000121 0.000198 0.000317 0.000516 0.000840 0.001353 0.002229
2026-06-14 0.000114 0.000188 0.000305 0.000503 0.000830 0.001354 0.002260
2026-06-21 0.000108 0.000181 0.000296 0.000495 0.000828 0.001368 0.002315